Emerging Infectious Diseases
To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9–4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3–8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.
Muniz-Rodriguez, Kamalich, Isaac Fung, Shayesteh R. Ferdosi, Sylvia Ofori, Yiseul Lee, Amna Tariq, Gerardo Chowell.
"Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020."
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 26 (8): Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
doi: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.200536 source: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.200536