Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks
Emerging Infectious Diseases
To guide the collection of data under emergent epidemic conditions, we reviewed compartmental models of historical Ebola outbreaks to determine their implications and limitations. We identified future modeling directions and propose that the minimal epidemiologic dataset for Ebola model construction comprises duration of incubation period and symptomatic period, distribution of secondary cases by infection setting, and compliance with intervention recommendations.
Drake, John, Iurii Bakach, Matthew Just, Suzanne O'Regan, Manoj Gambhir, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung.
"Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks."
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 21 (8): 1447-1450.